The explainability function is not created or is created with all weights equal to zero, according to the data specification.

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Thank you very much for your answer. Regarding the "explainability" tool we have deployed it as described in the documentation and we get three results in different tests:

When we load only target, metadata and holidays the explainability work is created and shows us that the variables holiday and country have explanatory power (weights greater than zero (0.45 and 0.20)). When we load, in addition, the related variables (exogenous) in some cases we reach the status : "CREATED_FAILED" and in others the variables appear on the screen but with a weight equal to zero, including vacations and country. Why could this be happening? Thank you very much for your answer

LMC_arg
asked 3 months ago102 views
1 Answer
0

Hello,

I understand that explainability is either not created or created with all weights equal to zero. Please note that, while enabling the Holidays Featurization, it is recommended that your historical data contains at least two years of data. This allows Forecast to identify demand patters that are associated with specific holidays. After you choose a country, Holidays applies that country’s holiday calendar to every item in your dataset during training. Please refer to [1] for more details on this. If one or more attribute has an impact score of zero, then these attributes have no significant impact on forecast values. Scores can also be zero if the AutoPredictor used only a non-ML algorithm, or you did not provide related time series or item metadata. Please refer to the the best practices and restrictions from [2] when working with explainability.

Kindly try checking with the above resources. If you face any other issues or require further assistance, please reach out to AWS Support [3] along with the dataset details and job arn's, and we would be happy to assist you further. Thank you!

References:

[1] https://docs.aws.amazon.com/forecast/latest/dg/holidays.html#enabling-holidays

[2] https://docs.aws.amazon.com/forecast/latest/dg/predictor-explainability.html#predictor-explainability-best-practices

[3] https://console.aws.amazon.com/support/home#/case/create

AWS
answered 3 months ago

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